top of page
Logo METAscales

Multiscale modelling of marine extremes and their socio-economic impacts

METAscales, led by Gabriel David ( Technical University of Braunschweig ), aims to develop multiscale models for the prediction of marine extreme events such as storms and storm surges and their socio-economic impacts.

Why do we do this?

Coastal and marine ecosystems face major risks from climate change and human activities. Extreme events such as storms, floods and heatwaves significantly affect biodiversity and the functioning of these ecosystems. These events occur at different spatial and temporal scales and are often difficult to predict. We need to understand and manage these impacts to ensure the resilience and sustainability of coastal and marine areas.

Photo of a lighthouse in a storm wave

Our goal

The project aims to develop accurate models covering different spatial and temporal scales to predict storms, hurricanes, storm surges and heat waves. We also want to increase the adaptive capacity and resilience of coastal and marine ecosystems. Our project partners work closely with scientists, authorities, local communities and other stakeholders to develop science-based measures and strategies that promote the protection and sustainable use of these ecosystems.

Our objectives in detail: 1. Creation and validation of multi-scale models: Development of models covering different spatial and temporal scales to predict marine extreme events. Validation of the models by comparison with historical data and current observations. 2. Assessment of socio-economic impacts: Analysis of the direct and indirect socio-economic impacts of marine extreme events. Consideration of factors such as damage to infrastructure, impacts on fisheries and tourism, and population health. 3. Development of adaptive strategies: Development of strategies to adapt to the predicted extreme events. Recommendations for policy measures and management strategies to mitigate risks and promote resilience. 4. Scientific and technical cooperation: Promoting interdisciplinary cooperation between scientists, engineers, policy makers and stakeholders. Building networks and partnerships to jointly address the challenges.

Photo of the sea surf between brown-grey stones.

How do we do that?

We use cutting-edge technologies and methods to study the impacts of extreme events on coastal and marine ecosystems. These include observation systems, biogeochemical models and data analytics. By integrating knowledge and data, we work with stakeholders to develop effective adaptation and mitigation strategies that protect and promote the biodiversity and functioning of these important ecosystems. By integrating historical data and current observations, these models are validated to enable accurate predictions and build resilience to marine extreme events.

Historical data and current observations are integrated to calibrate and validate models. The socio-economic analyses are based on comprehensive data sets and consider both direct and indirect impacts. The interdisciplinary approach ensures that scientific, engineering and social aspects are included.

Photo of a lighthouse in a storm wave

Expected results

  • Multi-scale models: Development and validation of multi-scale models for predicting marine extreme events.

  • Socioeconomic analyses: Detailed analyses of socioeconomic impacts and recommendations for risk reduction.

  • Adaptive strategies: Development of concrete measures to adapt to marine extreme events and increase resilience.

  • Cooperation and networks: Strengthening cooperation and exchange between science, politics and practice to jointly overcome challenges.

META-SCALES sea-Image by JUAN GARCIA on Pixabay6406047_1280.jpg

News

Network partners

  • AG Küstengeologie und Sedimentologie, Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel

  • Bund für Umwelt- und Naturschutz Deutschland, Landesverband Bremen e.V.

  • Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt

  • Integrative Geographie, Universität Hamburg

  • Institut für Geographie und Geologie, Julius-Maximilians-Universität Würzburg

  • Institut für Meereskunde, Klimamodellierung, Universität Hamburg

  • Institut für Raumordnung und Entwicklungsplanung, Universität Stuttgart

  • Helmholtz-Zentrum für Ozeanforschung Kiel (GEOMAR)

  • Helmholtz-Zentrum hereon GmbH

  • Leichtweiß-Institut, Technische Universität Carolo-Wilhelmina zu Braunschweig

  • Ludwig-Franzius-Institut, Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz Universität Hannover

  • Niedersächsischer Landesbetrieb für Wasserwirtschaft, Küsten- und Naturschutz

  • Technische Universität Hamburg

Contact

Weiterführende Links

META-SCALES sea-Bild von JUAN GARCIA auf Pixabay6406047_1280.jpg
bottom of page